Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 2060.216316 2237.629942 2417.032520 2611.734796 2816.780028 3026.016367 3255.370414
2025-06-08 1742.784549 2005.430631 2281.010555 2590.523473 2927.269472 3281.404474 3680.823627
2025-06-15 1588.388942 1906.480299 2249.205741 2643.452264 3081.982251 3552.449359 4092.967174
2025-06-22 1445.555079 1800.886002 2192.694249 2652.694478 3173.913007 3742.319321 4405.166290
2025-06-29 1320.134316 1702.226035 2132.539842 2647.067222 3239.634821 3895.080522 4669.227430
2025-07-06 1174.564079 1568.858303 2022.519890 2574.910291 3221.287664 3946.094145 4812.606578
2025-07-13 1134.342902 1556.340218 2049.770933 2658.734356 3379.648037 4196.055329 5180.571666
2025-07-20 1077.450040 1519.014819 2043.756579 2700.060373 3485.912557 4384.412485 5476.980256
2025-07-27 1010.883470 1465.250865 2014.126372 2709.811196 3552.218268 4524.413031 5716.154327
2025-08-03 944.003045 1406.973245 1975.439162 2705.430748 3599.060324 4639.665327 5925.101533
2025-08-10 892.265615 1365.018045 1954.352604 2720.255176 3667.144218 4778.688641 6161.186901
2025-08-17 832.178658 1308.751733 1912.367036 2706.616419 3698.534163 4872.511029 6342.781856
2025-08-24 792.482020 1278.488467 1903.065772 2734.151873 3781.502365 5030.118054 6603.407310
2025-08-31 735.087458 1221.279080 1856.568812 2712.663641 3802.487597 5112.234685 6773.641500
2025-09-07 712.556906 1210.842455 1870.219259 2767.253367 3917.814698 5308.798972 7081.953433
2025-09-14 674.386476 1176.271358 1850.121830 2776.786266 3975.457101 5434.265654 7304.075833
2025-09-21 633.261514 1135.246530 1819.502782 2770.982185 4012.425401 5533.489446 7493.857983
2025-09-28 570.848568 1059.725846 1738.944064 2696.546935 3959.325512 5519.289313 7543.260685
2025-10-05 567.346524 1071.692810 1779.029303 2783.015789 4113.782710 5764.236751 7912.460905
2025-10-12 549.613773 1061.076973 1786.858012 2825.635683 4211.235760 5938.004047 8194.310223
2025-10-19 522.526254 1034.665644 1771.304324 2835.690850 4265.642701 6057.396566 8408.849034
2025-10-26 492.592141 1002.228179 1745.876028 2831.173724 4300.129056 6151.147881 8591.324168
2025-11-02 470.319356 980.794732 1735.370990 2846.460414 4360.270185 6277.274036 8814.399493